← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.84+6.66vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.54vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.60vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.70vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+3.29vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University3.49+3.29vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.97vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.720.00vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.19+1.50vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.49-0.70vs Predicted
-
11University of Michigan1.84+5.02vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.59vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University3.29-2.51vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University3.60-5.32vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University3.77-6.98vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University3.50-6.86vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia1.63-0.45vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College2.69-5.14vs Predicted
-
19Jacksonville University2.38-5.02vs Predicted
-
20Christopher Newport University2.21-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.66College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
-
8.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.6U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
6.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
-
9.29George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
-
8.0Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
10.5Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
-
9.3Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
-
16.02University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
-
12.59University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
-
10.49Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
-
8.68Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
8.02Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
9.14Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
16.55University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
-
12.86SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
-
13.98Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
-
14.84Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cusick | 7.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Adam | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| John Rolander | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 19.7% | 26.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| AJ Reiter | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 33.4% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
| Austin Powers | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.