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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.19+9.53vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.43vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.84+4.88vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.49+5.28vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.29+5.14vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72+2.27vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.49+2.54vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-1.45vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.60-0.38vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.25vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.50-1.70vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.38+2.25vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-4.29vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.80-1.72vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.69-2.23vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.77-8.05vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-8.62vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia1.63-1.36vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan1.84-3.10vs Predicted
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20Christopher Newport University2.21-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.53Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.88College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.14Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.27Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.54George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.62Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.3Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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14.25Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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12.28University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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12.77SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.95Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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16.64University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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15.9University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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14.86Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Williford | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Cusick | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| John Rolander | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 10.7% |
| Bradley Adam | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 4.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 17.5% | 34.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 19.1% | 25.2% |
| Austin Powers | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.