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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+7.00vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+8.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.83vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.29+6.17vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.80+7.23vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.50+3.28vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.49+2.57vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.49+1.03vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.72-0.86vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.36vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-2.57vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.27vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.26vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.60-5.28vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.84-7.22vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.21-1.35vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.69-4.33vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.84-1.94vs Predicted
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19Jacksonville University2.38-4.96vs Predicted
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20University of Virginia1.63-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.57Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.17Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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9.28Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.03George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.14Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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14.65Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.67SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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16.06University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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14.04Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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16.73University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| John Rolander | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Cusick | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Austin Powers | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 14.3% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.4% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 25.6% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.1% |
| Alexander Singh | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 18.6% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.