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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+9.13vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.63+14.58vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.57vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.38+10.05vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.69+7.76vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+2.45vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.84+0.98vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.72+0.04vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.19+1.50vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.50-0.85vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-2.87vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University2.21+2.91vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-6.02vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-4.37vs Predicted
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15George Washington University3.49-5.74vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.84-0.06vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-8.60vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.49-8.59vs Predicted
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19University of Pennsylvania2.80-6.75vs Predicted
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20Harvard University3.60-11.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.13Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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16.58University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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14.05Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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12.76SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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7.98College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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8.04Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.5Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
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9.15Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.13Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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14.91Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.26George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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15.94University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.25University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.9Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 33.9% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 9.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Cusick | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Austin Powers | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 15.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 18.8% | 26.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| John Rolander | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.