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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+8.29vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+6.20vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.71vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.29+6.14vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.84+2.59vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.80vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.80+5.72vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+0.18vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.49+0.18vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.50-0.82vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.84+4.99vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University2.21+2.92vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-5.92vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.64vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia1.63+1.45vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.69-3.32vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.19-6.52vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.77-9.88vs Predicted
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19Harvard University3.60-10.28vs Predicted
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20Jacksonville University2.38-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.29Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.2Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.14Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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7.59College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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12.72University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.18George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.18Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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15.99University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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14.92Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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16.45University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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12.68SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.48Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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14.22Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Jack Cusick | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Bradley Adam | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Mason Wolters | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 12.5% | 19.2% | 25.6% |
| Austin Powers | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 14.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 35.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.