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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+5.66vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.84+5.66vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.38+11.09vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+4.26vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.60+3.70vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia1.63+10.68vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.69+6.10vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.29+1.95vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.65vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.49vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.80+1.38vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-2.04vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.49-3.44vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.49-4.76vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.50-5.74vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.19-5.42vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.77-9.13vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.84-1.95vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-10.72vs Predicted
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20Christopher Newport University2.21-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.66College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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14.09Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.26Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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16.68University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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13.1SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.95Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.38University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.56George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.26Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.58Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
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7.87Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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16.05University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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8.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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14.86Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cusick | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.9% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 19.3% | 35.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| AJ Reiter | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| John Rolander | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Williford | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 20.2% | 24.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Austin Powers | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.