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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.84+6.65vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+8.66vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+3.83vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.77vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.21+9.64vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.49+3.34vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.90vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.38+5.87vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.60-0.35vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.50-0.80vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.29-0.74vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.84+4.10vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.72-4.47vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.63vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.69-2.26vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.80-3.73vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-8.81vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia1.63-1.31vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.49-9.82vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University3.77-11.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.65College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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10.66Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
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6.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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14.64Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.34George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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13.87Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.2Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.26Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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16.1University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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8.53Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.74SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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12.27University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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16.69University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.14Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cusick | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Austin Powers | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 13.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 9.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 27.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 4.6% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 34.7% |
| John Rolander | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.