Race 5B

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rian Bareuther 7.7% 7.4% 8.6% 8.2% 9.4% 10.1% 10.5% 11.1% 11.1% 8.5% 4.8% 2.6%
Michael Marshall 15.7% 16.4% 14.8% 12.3% 10.8% 8.5% 8.5% 6.1% 3.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Ryan Mullins 15.9% 12.6% 14.4% 10.2% 10.9% 11.1% 8.6% 8.7% 3.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
D.J. Hatch 9.2% 12.7% 12.2% 11.0% 11.5% 9.3% 9.8% 8.5% 6.6% 5.7% 2.8% 0.7%
Tripp Cashel 7.1% 9.2% 7.4% 10.7% 8.5% 9.4% 9.9% 10.0% 9.3% 9.6% 6.9% 2.0%
Kelsey Wheeler 11.5% 8.8% 9.9% 10.6% 10.8% 11.4% 9.6% 9.1% 8.4% 5.4% 3.5% 1.0%
Matthew Schon 12.6% 11.8% 12.1% 11.3% 10.6% 9.1% 9.9% 8.3% 6.4% 4.8% 1.8% 1.3%
Steven Pelissier 7.1% 5.8% 5.3% 6.7% 8.3% 9.2% 7.8% 9.3% 12.3% 13.0% 10.2% 5.0%
David Pierce 3.5% 4.0% 4.7% 6.1% 7.7% 6.8% 8.2% 9.7% 12.7% 14.3% 14.1% 8.2%
Ryan White 6.7% 7.3% 7.6% 8.2% 6.8% 10.0% 9.7% 10.0% 12.4% 9.4% 8.7% 3.2%
Andrew McHenry 1.8% 1.5% 1.1% 2.4% 3.1% 2.6% 4.4% 4.9% 6.8% 11.6% 24.6% 35.2%
Ted Netland 1.2% 2.5% 1.9% 2.3% 1.6% 2.5% 3.1% 4.3% 6.5% 12.7% 20.8% 40.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.