← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.72+6.79vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.49+6.83vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+3.45vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.60+4.31vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College2.69+7.47vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.06vs Predicted
-
7University of Virginia1.63+8.79vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.77-0.15vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.19+0.91vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-2.24vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University2.73+1.03vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.76vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-4.07vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston3.84-6.62vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University3.49-6.35vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University3.29-6.54vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University2.21-3.09vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan1.84-2.81vs Predicted
-
19Jacksonville University2.38-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.79Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.83Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
-
6.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.31Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
12.47SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
-
8.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
15.79University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
-
7.85Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
9.91Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
-
12.03Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
-
8.24U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.38College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
-
8.65George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.46Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
-
13.91Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
-
15.19University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
-
13.0Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 6.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| John Rolander | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 4.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 18.5% | 35.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Jack Cusick | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Austin Powers | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 15.1% |
| Mason Wolters | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 17.7% | 25.5% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.