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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+7.12vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+4.37vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.33vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.49+4.74vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.84+2.46vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72+1.71vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.29+2.64vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.69+4.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.20vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.60-1.82vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.49-2.27vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-3.77vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.19-3.17vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.73-1.86vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.38-1.85vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.84-0.85vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.77-9.46vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University2.21-4.03vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia1.63-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.46College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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7.71Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.64Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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12.36SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.73George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.83Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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12.14Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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13.15Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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15.15University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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13.97Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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15.54University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| John Rolander | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jack Cusick | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 26.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Austin Powers | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 13.6% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 20.5% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.