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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+8.61vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.96+7.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+6.79vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.82+10.29vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.06+3.87vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia2.12+7.21vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.13+1.86vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.79vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-0.32vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-2.09vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.41-3.50vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.47-4.68vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.87vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.23-5.86vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.25vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-8.63vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.42-5.34vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.68-0.20vs Predicted
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19Jacksonville University2.15-6.09vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College2.14-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.61Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.27Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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14.29Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.87Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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8.86Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.68College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.5George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.14Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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13.75University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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7.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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11.66Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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17.8University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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12.91Jacksonville University2.150.0%1st Place
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13.14SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Anders Hudson | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 10.4% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 5.7% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Paris Henken | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Liam McCarthy | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Barbano | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Brill | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Conner Harding | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| William Gallagher | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 9.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Will Neubauer | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 56.1% |
| Peter Steo | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 5.1% |
| John Lawless | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.