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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.06+7.82vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+5.29vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+5.64vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47+3.05vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.23+3.07vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.82vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+2.85vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.14+4.77vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+0.78vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.95+3.83vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.88+3.09vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.09-3.06vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.89-3.06vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia2.12-1.00vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-7.59vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.96-6.75vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.82-2.84vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.68-0.25vs Predicted
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19Harvard University2.42-7.40vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-12.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.82Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.29George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.64Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.07Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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12.77SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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13.83University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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14.09Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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8.94College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.94Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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7.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.25Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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14.16Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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17.75University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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11.6Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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7.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Dorr | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Kai Friesecke | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Brill | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| John Lawless | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 5.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| William Gallagher | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 8.2% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 9.8% |
| Paris Henken | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 5.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 9.2% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Anders Hudson | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 10.4% |
| Will Neubauer | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 13.5% | 54.6% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.