← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University at Galveston0.27+1.22vs Predicted
-
2Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.99+1.70vs Predicted
-
3Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30-0.84vs Predicted
-
4University of Texas-0.50-0.84vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University-1.65-0.47vs Predicted
-
6Baylor University-2.42-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.22Texas A&M University at Galveston0.2733.8%1st Place
-
3.7Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.999.4%1st Place
-
2.16Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.3034.5%1st Place
-
3.16University of Texas-0.5015.3%1st Place
-
4.53Texas A&M University-1.654.5%1st Place
-
5.23Baylor University-2.422.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Polsen | 33.8% | 29.1% | 21.6% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Meyer | 9.4% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 27.8% | 23.9% | 8.3% |
| Nicholas Carew | 34.5% | 32.6% | 19.4% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Rohit Rajan | 15.3% | 17.2% | 25.2% | 25.1% | 12.7% | 4.5% |
| Kennedy Long | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 37.7% | 25.8% |
| Grant Stone | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 19.7% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.