Race 6B

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Mullins 14.9% 13.5% 12.7% 13.3% 10.4% 10.1% 8.2% 7.5% 4.7% 2.8% 1.7% 0.2%
Steven Pelissier 4.7% 5.9% 6.2% 7.1% 8.9% 7.2% 8.9% 9.5% 12.4% 13.1% 10.9% 5.2%
Ryan White 8.1% 5.9% 6.6% 6.6% 8.8% 7.6% 10.5% 10.9% 11.9% 11.7% 8.6% 2.8%
Michael Marshall 15.4% 17.5% 14.0% 13.1% 10.8% 9.1% 7.2% 5.2% 4.5% 2.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Rian Bareuther 8.3% 8.5% 8.4% 8.9% 9.8% 9.9% 9.1% 9.9% 9.9% 8.4% 6.2% 2.7%
Kelsey Wheeler 10.4% 9.8% 11.2% 10.5% 9.7% 10.2% 11.4% 9.4% 7.5% 5.8% 3.3% 0.8%
Andrew McHenry 2.1% 2.1% 2.2% 2.7% 2.9% 3.3% 3.8% 6.6% 6.7% 10.8% 21.1% 35.7%
D.J. Hatch 12.2% 11.5% 11.2% 10.1% 10.4% 10.3% 9.5% 9.0% 6.9% 5.1% 3.0% 0.8%
David Pierce 3.1% 4.2% 5.1% 5.5% 7.7% 7.8% 8.5% 8.9% 12.0% 14.5% 14.9% 7.8%
Matthew Schon 11.7% 11.2% 13.3% 11.2% 8.9% 11.5% 10.9% 8.4% 5.4% 4.6% 2.0% 0.9%
Tripp Cashel 7.6% 7.7% 8.1% 8.0% 9.4% 10.6% 9.6% 9.6% 11.8% 10.0% 5.7% 1.9%
Ted Netland 1.5% 2.2% 1.0% 3.0% 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 5.1% 6.3% 11.1% 21.6% 41.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.