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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+6.00vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+5.26vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.23+5.29vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.88+10.02vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.89+4.55vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+2.83vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.63vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+1.35vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+0.82vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.13-1.42vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.95+2.79vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-3.95vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.05vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.96-4.74vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.42-3.32vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.06-7.19vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.82-2.85vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia2.12-4.82vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan0.68-1.30vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College2.14-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.26George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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14.02Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.55Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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8.83College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.58Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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13.79University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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8.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.26Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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11.68Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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8.81Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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14.15Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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13.18University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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17.7University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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13.1SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 9.3% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Conner Harding | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 9.9% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Paris Henken | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| William Gallagher | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 7.5% |
| Liam McCarthy | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Brill | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Jack McGraw | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Roger Dorr | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Anders Hudson | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 9.2% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 14.2% | 53.7% |
| John Lawless | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.