Race 7B

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matt Johnson 12.4% 10.4% 11.5% 10.9% 12.0% 10.7% 9.2% 9.4% 5.5% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6%
Rian Bareuther 6.9% 9.3% 9.0% 7.8% 10.0% 9.8% 10.9% 9.6% 12.1% 7.9% 4.6% 2.1%
Michael Marshall 18.0% 13.7% 14.2% 11.9% 11.7% 9.5% 8.0% 6.7% 3.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Kelsey Wheeler 9.1% 11.4% 9.5% 11.9% 10.0% 11.0% 10.0% 8.6% 8.1% 5.6% 3.8% 1.0%
Matthew Schon 11.8% 11.5% 11.6% 11.3% 10.3% 10.6% 9.2% 7.6% 6.5% 5.6% 3.5% 0.5%
Ryan White 6.0% 7.2% 7.0% 7.1% 7.2% 9.5% 9.7% 11.5% 11.2% 11.9% 8.6% 3.1%
Steven Pelissier 6.5% 5.8% 6.3% 7.8% 6.5% 7.8% 9.2% 10.3% 11.7% 13.7% 9.3% 5.1%
Peter Edmunds 9.3% 7.9% 8.5% 8.9% 9.2% 9.4% 8.4% 9.8% 11.8% 8.6% 6.1% 2.1%
David Pierce 3.3% 3.6% 4.4% 6.3% 7.2% 7.9% 8.2% 10.3% 12.9% 14.3% 13.8% 7.8%
Ryan Mullins 13.8% 15.1% 14.4% 12.1% 11.1% 10.0% 8.5% 6.8% 4.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Ted Netland 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 1.5% 3.2% 1.7% 4.7% 4.5% 5.0% 10.7% 24.7% 39.4%
Andrew McHenry 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 1.6% 2.1% 4.0% 4.9% 7.2% 11.8% 22.0% 37.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.