Race 8B

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kelsey Wheeler 10.4% 9.5% 9.6% 9.1% 10.6% 11.9% 9.9% 10.0% 8.2% 5.5% 4.2% 1.1%
Michael Marshall 15.1% 16.4% 13.4% 14.3% 11.5% 9.0% 7.8% 5.3% 4.2% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Peter Edmunds 8.9% 7.1% 8.7% 8.0% 8.7% 9.3% 10.3% 11.2% 8.9% 11.4% 5.5% 2.0%
Ryan Mullins 13.0% 15.1% 14.0% 11.7% 10.7% 10.6% 8.5% 6.8% 5.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2%
Ryan White 6.1% 6.8% 7.1% 7.8% 9.2% 8.7% 8.5% 12.0% 9.4% 11.6% 9.6% 3.2%
Matt Johnson 13.1% 11.1% 10.6% 11.8% 11.6% 9.6% 10.6% 8.0% 6.4% 4.3% 2.7% 0.2%
Steven Pelissier 6.1% 6.2% 6.4% 6.7% 8.7% 7.5% 8.7% 8.9% 13.9% 12.5% 9.5% 4.9%
Matthew Schon 12.9% 12.0% 12.8% 10.2% 9.5% 9.0% 10.4% 9.3% 6.4% 4.2% 2.6% 0.7%
Rian Bareuther 6.9% 7.5% 9.9% 10.7% 10.0% 10.4% 10.0% 10.4% 10.4% 8.3% 4.5% 1.0%
David Pierce 4.4% 4.5% 4.6% 5.7% 5.3% 7.1% 8.2% 9.4% 12.8% 14.5% 14.5% 9.0%
Ted Netland 1.8% 1.5% 0.9% 1.8% 2.1% 3.7% 4.4% 3.9% 5.5% 10.1% 24.3% 40.0%
Andrew McHenry 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 2.2% 2.1% 3.2% 2.7% 4.8% 8.5% 12.1% 21.1% 37.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.