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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.31vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+3.71vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.27vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+6.46vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+3.28vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.85+2.20vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo0.98+3.89vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.95vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.65-0.37vs Predicted
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10Villanova University0.60+2.00vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.11-3.75vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.87-3.91vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.33+1.06vs Predicted
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14Hampton University3.02-9.55vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.02-1.55vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.63-7.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Georgetown University3.530.3%1st Place
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5.71SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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5.27U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.46Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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8.2Queen's University1.850.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Buffalo0.980.0%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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8.63Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.0Villanova University0.600.0%1st Place
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7.25Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.09SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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14.06University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.45Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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13.45Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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8.94Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 25.7% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 10.6% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| Vincent Storino | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Matti Muru | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Richard Girardin | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 6.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Adam DeVita | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| John Dyment | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 11.4% |
| Sebby Turner | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Arthur Libby | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 19.8% | 44.4% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 15.3% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 24.4% | 30.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.