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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.85+6.99vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+3.74vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.87+5.06vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.63+4.97vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.23vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo0.98+4.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.76-1.67vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.11-0.82vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.33+4.97vs Predicted
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10Hampton University3.02-5.43vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.02+2.31vs Predicted
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12Villanova University0.60-0.06vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.53-9.72vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.65-5.34vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-4.48vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99Queen's University1.850.0%1st Place
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5.74SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.06SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.97Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Buffalo0.980.0%1st Place
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5.33U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.18Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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13.97University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.57Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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13.31Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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11.94Villanova University0.600.0%1st Place
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3.28Georgetown University3.530.3%1st Place
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8.66Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.52Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matti Muru | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Richard Girardin | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 6.2% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 12.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 43.6% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 15.2% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 22.1% | 31.6% |
| John Dyment | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 19.5% | 12.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 26.1% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% |
| Vincent Storino | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.