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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.11+6.11vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.85+5.99vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+1.56vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.53-0.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.76+0.28vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.65+2.85vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.19vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.87-0.06vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.86vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-1.63vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.63-2.21vs Predicted
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12Villanova University0.60-0.06vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo0.98-2.16vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.68vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.33-0.84vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University0.02-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.99Queen's University1.850.0%1st Place
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4.56Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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3.41Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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5.28U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.85Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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5.81SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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7.94SUNY Maritime College1.870.1%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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8.79Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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11.94Villanova University0.600.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Buffalo0.980.0%1st Place
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10.32Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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14.16University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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13.5Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebby Turner | 4.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matti Muru | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 15.4% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 23.8% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Vincent Storino | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Smith | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| John Dyment | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 13.0% |
| Richard Girardin | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 5.6% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 21.2% | 46.2% |
| Henry Sanders | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 25.1% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.