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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.85+6.93vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.63+6.72vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.53+0.34vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02+0.62vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.75vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+2.34vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.76-1.65vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.65+0.66vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.87-1.02vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.11-2.67vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.02+2.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.14-4.81vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.62vs Predicted
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14Villanova University0.60-2.12vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo0.98-4.00vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-0.33-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93Queen's University1.850.0%1st Place
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8.72Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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3.34Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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4.62Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.75SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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5.35U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.66Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.98SUNY Maritime College1.870.1%1st Place
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7.33Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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13.34Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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10.38Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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11.88Villanova University0.600.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Buffalo0.980.0%1st Place
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14.19University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matti Muru | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Andy Reiter | 25.0% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Arthur Libby | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Henry Sanders | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 24.4% | 30.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 3.7% |
| John Dyment | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 10.9% |
| Richard Girardin | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 5.4% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 21.8% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.