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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+3.43vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.76+3.25vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.53+0.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+4.37vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.20vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.63+2.89vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.11+0.34vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.65+0.63vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.87-1.08vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.22vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.85-2.88vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo0.98-1.16vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.33+1.10vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.76vs Predicted
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15Villanova University0.60-2.93vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University0.02-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.25U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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3.33Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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8.89Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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7.34Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.63Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.92SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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5.78SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.12Queen's University1.850.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Buffalo0.980.0%1st Place
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14.1University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.24Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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12.07Villanova University0.600.0%1st Place
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13.48Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 15.1% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 11.5% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 24.2% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Sebby Turner | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Adam DeVita | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Arthur Libby | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matti Muru | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Richard Girardin | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 6.1% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 20.6% | 45.2% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| John Dyment | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 11.5% |
| Henry Sanders | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 24.7% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.