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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.85+7.00vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.11+5.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.27vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.53-0.61vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.63+3.95vs Predicted
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6Hampton University3.02-1.39vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.60+4.99vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.97vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-0.79vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.33+4.12vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-0.70vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.87-3.93vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.02+0.38vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.65-5.35vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo0.98-4.06vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook2.59-10.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Queen's University1.850.0%1st Place
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7.26Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.27U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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3.39Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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8.95Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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4.61Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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11.99Villanova University0.600.0%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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14.12University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.3Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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8.07SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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13.38Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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8.65Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Buffalo0.980.0%1st Place
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5.83SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matti Muru | 3.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Sebby Turner | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andy Reiter | 25.0% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 13.6% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Dyment | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 12.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Vincent Storino | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 19.7% | 47.7% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 3.2% |
| Arthur Libby | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Henry Sanders | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 14.4% | 24.7% | 27.8% |
| Adam DeVita | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Richard Girardin | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 4.4% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.