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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.30vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.76+3.24vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+7.37vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.85+4.27vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.19vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.11+1.33vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.19vs Predicted
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8Hampton University3.02-3.58vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.63-0.26vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.87-1.96vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-2.73vs Predicted
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12Villanova University0.60-0.09vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.65-4.29vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo0.98-3.22vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.33-0.86vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University0.02-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Georgetown University3.530.3%1st Place
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5.24U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.37Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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8.27Queen's University1.850.0%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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7.33Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.81SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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4.42Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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8.74Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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8.04SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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11.91Villanova University0.600.0%1st Place
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8.71Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Buffalo0.980.0%1st Place
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14.14University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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13.5Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 25.2% | 21.4% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Matti Muru | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.4% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Arthur Libby | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Vincent Storino | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| John Dyment | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 12.7% |
| Adam DeVita | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Richard Girardin | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 22.1% | 45.3% |
| Henry Sanders | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 14.6% | 24.9% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.