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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+3.42vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.53+1.35vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.65+5.77vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.85+4.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+3.27vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.60+6.03vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.63+1.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.76-2.89vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook2.59-3.29vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.11-2.71vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.87-2.95vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo0.98-1.21vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.33+1.10vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.72vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.02-1.53vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.14-8.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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3.35Georgetown University3.530.3%1st Place
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8.77Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.24Queen's University1.850.0%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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12.03Villanova University0.600.0%1st Place
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8.94Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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5.11U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.71SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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7.29Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.05SUNY Maritime College1.870.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Buffalo0.980.0%1st Place
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14.1University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.28Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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13.47Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 15.5% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 25.1% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Matti Muru | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Vincent Storino | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| John Dyment | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 12.8% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Arthur Libby | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Richard Girardin | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 4.7% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 18.6% | 46.4% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 3.3% |
| Henry Sanders | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 25.3% | 29.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.