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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+4.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.26vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.52+4.65vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.15-0.59vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.55+2.53vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+2.07vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.49vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.56-3.38vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.49-1.29vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77-5.74vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-1.26+3.07vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.15-3.31vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.34-2.06vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.82-0.58vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo-1.70-0.23vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.47-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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5.26U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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7.65Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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3.41Georgetown University3.150.2%1st Place
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7.53SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
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8.07Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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9.49SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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4.62U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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7.71Queen's University1.490.0%1st Place
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4.26Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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14.07Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
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8.69Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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13.42University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
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14.77University of Buffalo-1.700.0%1st Place
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10.72Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Marshall | 23.9% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Adam | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Faurschou | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 15.5% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 14.7% | 31.8% | 30.7% |
| David Alldian | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Clark Spencer Ragsdale | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Madeline Hope | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 26.7% | 24.3% | 15.5% |
| John Porterfield | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 10.8% | 25.7% | 50.4% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.