← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.77+3.12vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University2.26+3.45vs Predicted
-
3Washington College1.52+4.60vs Predicted
-
4Columbia University0.47+6.65vs Predicted
-
5Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+2.98vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College1.55+1.58vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.15-3.57vs Predicted
-
8Queen's University1.49-0.37vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.37vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.56-5.19vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.69vs Predicted
-
12Villanova University1.15-3.27vs Predicted
-
13University of Buffalo-1.70+1.77vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.34-3.15vs Predicted
-
15Syracuse University-1.26-0.81vs Predicted
-
16University of Maryland-0.82-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.12Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
-
5.45Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
-
7.6Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
-
10.65Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
-
7.98Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
7.58SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
-
3.43Georgetown University3.150.2%1st Place
-
7.63Queen's University1.490.0%1st Place
-
9.37SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
-
4.81U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
-
5.31U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
-
8.73Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
-
14.77University of Buffalo-1.700.0%1st Place
-
10.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.340.0%1st Place
-
14.19Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
-
13.55University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 16.3% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Adam | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Marshall | 24.9% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Faurschou | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Brittney Slook | 12.0% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| John Porterfield | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 12.2% | 22.1% | 50.6% |
| Clark Spencer Ragsdale | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 16.7% | 32.0% | 31.1% |
| Madeline Hope | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 11.3% | 24.2% | 29.3% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.