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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.15+2.35vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.77+2.21vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+4.99vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.55+3.66vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.26+0.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.57vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.49+0.79vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.56-3.38vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.42vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.15-1.18vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.68-0.97vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.52-4.35vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.34-2.02vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.82-0.58vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo-1.70-0.19vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-1.26-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Georgetown University3.150.2%1st Place
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4.21Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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7.99Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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7.66SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
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5.55Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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7.79Queen's University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.62U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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9.42SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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8.82Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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10.03Columbia University0.680.0%1st Place
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7.65Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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13.42University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
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14.81University of Buffalo-1.700.0%1st Place
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14.25Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Marshall | 24.0% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 16.6% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Adam | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Faurschou | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 14.0% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| David Alldian | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Tong | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Clark Spencer Ragsdale | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Madeline Hope | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 12.6% | 24.4% | 26.7% | 15.1% |
| John Porterfield | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 24.2% | 52.7% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 19.4% | 31.9% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.