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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+4.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.31vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.15+0.40vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.55+3.73vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.49+2.82vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.52+1.74vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.34+4.04vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.41vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-1.02vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.56-5.24vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-0.82+2.37vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-7.73vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.68-2.93vs Predicted
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14Villanova University1.15-5.33vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo-1.70-0.22vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-1.26-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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3.4Georgetown University3.150.2%1st Place
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7.73SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
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7.82Queen's University1.490.0%1st Place
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7.74Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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9.41SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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7.98Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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4.76U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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13.37University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
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4.27Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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10.07Columbia University0.680.0%1st Place
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8.67Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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14.78University of Buffalo-1.700.0%1st Place
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14.25Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 10.3% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Marshall | 23.4% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Adam | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Faurschou | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Clark Spencer Ragsdale | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Brittney Slook | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Hope | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 11.0% | 22.9% | 29.7% | 15.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 16.6% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Tong | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| David Alldian | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John Porterfield | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 5.2% | 11.3% | 22.1% | 53.0% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 18.0% | 32.2% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.