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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.23vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+3.51vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.55+4.56vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.15-0.57vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.56-0.25vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.90+3.52vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77-2.66vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.49-0.37vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.15-0.25vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.34+1.10vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.68-0.97vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.52-4.29vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-5.05vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.82-0.56vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo-1.70-0.20vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-1.26-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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5.51Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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7.56SUNY Maritime College1.550.1%1st Place
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3.43Georgetown University3.150.2%1st Place
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4.75U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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9.52SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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4.34Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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7.63Queen's University1.490.0%1st Place
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8.75Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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10.03Columbia University0.680.0%1st Place
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7.71Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.95Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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13.44University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
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14.8University of Buffalo-1.700.0%1st Place
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14.25Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Hughes | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Adam | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Marshall | 23.2% | 19.0% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 12.7% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 16.1% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Faurschou | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Clark Spencer Ragsdale | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 16.1% | 8.0% | 0.8% |
| Calvin Tong | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Hope | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 24.1% | 26.7% | 15.3% |
| John Porterfield | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 11.2% | 23.1% | 53.2% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 17.6% | 32.9% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.