Race 10B

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rian Bareuther 6.7% 10.0% 6.9% 8.3% 7.9% 10.1% 11.4% 10.8% 10.0% 10.0% 5.3% 2.6%
Matt Johnson 10.8% 13.6% 11.2% 11.6% 11.9% 9.0% 10.8% 8.5% 5.5% 4.5% 2.2% 0.4%
Matthew Schon 12.5% 9.9% 12.6% 10.0% 10.5% 9.8% 11.1% 10.1% 6.1% 4.7% 2.3% 0.4%
Michael Marshall 15.0% 16.9% 14.1% 14.2% 9.5% 10.6% 6.6% 6.8% 3.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Ryan White 6.5% 6.8% 6.0% 9.6% 8.0% 8.4% 9.5% 10.1% 10.8% 11.3% 9.6% 3.4%
Ryan Mullins 16.0% 12.2% 14.6% 11.6% 10.4% 11.0% 8.4% 5.8% 5.2% 3.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Kelsey Wheeler 11.2% 10.0% 10.6% 10.2% 12.0% 10.0% 8.4% 8.8% 9.3% 4.9% 2.9% 1.7%
David Pierce 4.9% 5.1% 4.3% 4.9% 6.9% 6.4% 7.9% 8.8% 12.0% 15.0% 15.7% 8.1%
Steven Pelissier 4.9% 4.2% 8.1% 7.7% 7.7% 8.8% 9.6% 10.3% 13.1% 12.6% 9.4% 3.6%
Peter Edmunds 8.1% 7.8% 8.4% 7.9% 10.6% 9.9% 9.7% 10.5% 11.0% 7.7% 6.0% 2.4%
Andrew McHenry 1.9% 1.6% 1.2% 2.3% 2.4% 3.5% 3.6% 5.1% 7.0% 10.9% 24.2% 36.3%
Ted Netland 1.5% 1.9% 2.0% 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 3.0% 4.4% 7.0% 12.5% 20.5% 40.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.