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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+3.12vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+3.45vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.31vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.15-0.57vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.34+6.01vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+2.04vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.49+0.81vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.52-0.54vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.82+4.37vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.15-1.18vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.47-0.40vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-1.26+2.17vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.55-5.50vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.56-9.39vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook0.90-5.52vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo-1.70-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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5.45Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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3.43Georgetown University3.150.2%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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8.04Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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7.81Queen's University1.490.0%1st Place
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7.46Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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13.37University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.82Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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10.6Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
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14.17Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
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7.5SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
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4.61U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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9.48SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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14.81University of Buffalo-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 16.5% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Marshall | 23.3% | 19.8% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Spencer Ragsdale | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 7.4% | 1.1% |
| Julian Fraize | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Faurschou | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Hope | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 26.4% | 27.2% | 14.7% |
| David Alldian | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 17.0% | 28.9% | 31.8% |
| Andreas Adam | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 13.4% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| John Porterfield | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 9.7% | 25.7% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.