Race 10B

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Hannah Hughes 10.7% 11.6% 11.5% 10.4% 11.7% 11.4% 9.9% 7.9% 6.4% 3.4% 3.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 9.2% 11.0% 11.5% 11.1% 10.8% 9.9% 9.7% 8.4% 7.3% 5.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
David Alldian 3.2% 3.5% 3.9% 4.6% 5.0% 5.9% 6.5% 8.2% 9.5% 13.3% 12.7% 10.8% 7.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%
Andrew Faurschou 2.9% 4.7% 6.0% 7.4% 5.9% 8.2% 8.4% 10.4% 9.4% 10.7% 10.2% 8.3% 5.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Julian Fraize 3.6% 4.0% 5.6% 6.7% 6.3% 8.9% 7.2% 9.3% 10.0% 11.5% 10.4% 9.1% 4.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.0%
Brittney Slook 11.5% 13.6% 14.3% 11.0% 12.8% 10.1% 9.4% 5.7% 5.1% 3.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gabby Rizika 16.7% 15.1% 12.6% 12.2% 11.4% 10.9% 7.1% 6.4% 3.9% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Marshall 27.3% 19.0% 13.3% 13.8% 11.5% 5.3% 4.8% 2.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andreas Adam 4.8% 5.1% 6.9% 7.3% 6.5% 6.4% 10.8% 10.6% 9.4% 11.7% 7.4% 6.6% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Nicholas Houchois 1.5% 1.3% 3.4% 2.0% 3.3% 2.6% 3.4% 5.2% 7.0% 7.2% 10.2% 16.1% 18.1% 12.4% 5.1% 1.2%
Clark Spencer Ragsdale 1.6% 1.5% 2.0% 2.4% 2.4% 3.7% 4.0% 4.1% 5.9% 7.5% 7.8% 13.6% 17.9% 16.3% 7.4% 1.9%
Jacob Correia 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% 3.2% 4.2% 6.7% 17.9% 29.1% 31.1%
Hannah Schmidt 3.6% 6.1% 6.2% 6.2% 6.5% 9.4% 9.2% 10.5% 12.2% 8.0% 8.0% 7.1% 5.1% 1.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Madeline Hope 0.1% 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 0.6% 1.4% 2.2% 1.9% 2.0% 4.5% 5.7% 12.3% 25.2% 26.7% 14.3%
Nicholas Manfredi 3.2% 2.2% 1.9% 3.7% 4.1% 5.5% 6.3% 7.6% 8.3% 9.3% 14.2% 11.8% 13.3% 5.9% 2.6% 0.1%
John Porterfield 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 1.9% 3.2% 3.9% 10.5% 25.5% 51.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.