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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+4.39vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.15+1.39vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77+1.19vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.55+3.68vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.37vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.49+1.84vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+1.05vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.56-3.35vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.15-0.28vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.52-2.30vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook0.90-1.57vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.68-1.94vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo-1.70+1.77vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.82-0.56vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.26-0.77vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.34-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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3.39Georgetown University3.150.2%1st Place
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4.19Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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7.68SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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7.84Queen's University1.490.0%1st Place
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8.05Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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4.65U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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8.72Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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7.7Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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9.43SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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10.06Columbia University0.680.0%1st Place
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14.77University of Buffalo-1.700.0%1st Place
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13.44University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
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14.23Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
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11.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Marshall | 24.0% | 20.9% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 16.6% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Adam | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Faurschou | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brittney Slook | 12.8% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Calvin Tong | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| John Porterfield | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 25.0% | 49.3% |
| Madeline Hope | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 28.0% | 24.2% | 15.9% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 16.1% | 33.0% | 31.1% |
| Clark Spencer Ragsdale | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 7.9% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.