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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.15+2.29vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.29vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26+2.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.56+0.77vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77-0.79vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.15+2.78vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.55+0.60vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.52-0.47vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.49-1.33vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.34+0.99vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-3.06vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.47-1.41vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook0.90-3.62vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-1.26+0.14vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.82-1.49vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo-1.70-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Georgetown University3.150.3%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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5.5Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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4.77U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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4.21Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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8.78Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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7.6SUNY Maritime College1.550.1%1st Place
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7.53Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.67Queen's University1.490.0%1st Place
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10.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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7.94Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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10.59Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
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9.38SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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14.14Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
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13.51University of Maryland-0.820.0%1st Place
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14.82University of Buffalo-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Marshall | 25.5% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 11.4% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 15.1% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Adam | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Faurschou | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Clark Spencer Ragsdale | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 13.7% | 6.8% | 1.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 17.5% | 31.0% | 29.1% |
| Madeline Hope | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 24.3% | 26.5% | 17.9% |
| John Porterfield | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 25.1% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.