Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
August Sturm 38.9% 27.8% 16.2% 8.8% 3.7% 2.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Cooper 10.0% 13.6% 14.7% 13.2% 13.7% 11.4% 9.6% 5.8% 5.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
James Gilmore III 5.9% 4.4% 7.3% 7.3% 7.9% 10.2% 11.4% 13.2% 11.9% 11.6% 7.0% 1.9%
Aidan Molesky 7.4% 11.2% 11.9% 14.1% 12.4% 11.8% 9.8% 8.5% 8.0% 3.5% 0.9% 0.5%
Abe Kipnis 1.5% 2.1% 2.0% 3.6% 3.3% 5.8% 6.4% 8.4% 10.5% 14.2% 19.9% 22.3%
Renee Torrie 10.7% 11.6% 12.1% 12.8% 13.1% 12.8% 10.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%
David Tampellini 1.5% 2.1% 2.6% 2.5% 3.3% 3.9% 5.5% 6.7% 11.4% 12.6% 21.5% 26.4%
Ryan Gershuny 7.9% 8.8% 10.4% 10.7% 12.9% 11.1% 11.5% 10.7% 6.3% 5.9% 3.3% 0.5%
Nicholas Giacobbe 7.8% 9.5% 12.1% 12.5% 13.6% 12.4% 11.1% 9.3% 5.1% 4.9% 1.5% 0.2%
Lillian Vincens 4.8% 4.8% 5.5% 8.0% 8.1% 8.5% 11.1% 11.1% 14.2% 11.7% 8.1% 4.1%
George Williams 2.6% 2.3% 3.7% 4.1% 5.1% 6.9% 8.5% 11.9% 12.8% 15.6% 15.4% 11.1%
Samantha Mislinski 1.0% 1.8% 1.5% 2.4% 2.9% 2.9% 3.2% 6.2% 8.9% 15.6% 20.9% 32.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.