Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
August Sturm 39.9% 26.4% 17.4% 7.8% 4.3% 1.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Giacobbe 6.7% 10.7% 11.8% 10.6% 13.7% 11.7% 10.1% 10.3% 6.9% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5%
James Gilmore III 5.8% 5.1% 6.6% 7.4% 8.7% 9.5% 11.9% 12.0% 15.0% 8.7% 7.0% 2.3%
Ryan Gershuny 5.6% 10.1% 10.4% 10.6% 12.5% 11.4% 11.2% 11.1% 8.3% 5.5% 2.8% 0.5%
Aidan Molesky 9.2% 10.1% 12.6% 11.8% 13.0% 12.4% 8.8% 9.3% 6.1% 3.5% 2.9% 0.3%
Renee Torrie 10.4% 11.7% 10.2% 15.0% 12.3% 13.3% 10.4% 7.9% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
David Tampellini 1.8% 1.6% 2.6% 2.3% 4.3% 4.0% 6.0% 6.7% 8.8% 15.0% 20.7% 26.2%
George Williams 2.0% 3.5% 5.0% 6.2% 4.6% 6.7% 8.6% 9.5% 13.2% 16.7% 14.7% 9.3%
Lillian Vincens 4.0% 4.0% 5.7% 8.5% 8.6% 11.3% 11.0% 12.2% 13.9% 11.0% 6.3% 3.5%
Thomas Cooper 11.6% 12.9% 13.5% 14.7% 13.1% 11.9% 8.7% 6.4% 4.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Samantha Mislinski 1.7% 1.3% 1.6% 1.4% 2.7% 2.4% 4.9% 5.6% 8.1% 14.4% 21.6% 34.3%
Abe Kipnis 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 3.7% 2.2% 3.7% 6.7% 8.4% 10.3% 15.3% 20.5% 22.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.