Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Giacobbe 7.6% 8.6% 11.9% 11.1% 11.2% 13.3% 11.4% 9.5% 8.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.4%
Renee Torrie 7.9% 14.2% 12.4% 13.5% 14.1% 12.0% 9.1% 8.2% 4.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2%
August Sturm 40.1% 26.5% 15.3% 9.2% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Cooper 11.0% 12.4% 15.5% 14.2% 13.8% 9.9% 9.2% 6.9% 4.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1%
David Tampellini 0.6% 2.0% 2.7% 2.5% 3.2% 4.6% 5.0% 6.6% 11.4% 11.8% 20.2% 29.4%
Ryan Gershuny 7.6% 8.9% 9.1% 11.3% 11.2% 12.4% 13.2% 9.9% 8.9% 4.2% 2.8% 0.5%
James Gilmore III 5.2% 5.2% 8.3% 8.2% 9.6% 9.5% 11.1% 12.3% 11.0% 10.6% 6.7% 2.3%
Aidan Molesky 10.2% 11.0% 12.4% 11.9% 11.2% 12.1% 11.4% 8.8% 4.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.8%
Abe Kipnis 1.3% 1.8% 2.2% 3.1% 3.7% 4.7% 6.8% 9.6% 11.6% 16.4% 19.9% 18.9%
Lillian Vincens 4.8% 5.1% 5.9% 7.5% 8.9% 7.3% 11.4% 12.8% 11.9% 12.8% 8.4% 3.2%
George Williams 2.8% 2.5% 2.4% 4.9% 6.3% 8.0% 6.8% 9.6% 14.5% 14.4% 16.1% 11.7%
Samantha Mislinski 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 2.6% 1.8% 3.8% 3.8% 5.1% 8.6% 16.4% 20.8% 32.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.