Race 4A

sacred-heart

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
August Sturm 40.6% 26.7% 15.6% 8.6% 4.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Gershuny 6.2% 8.8% 11.6% 10.8% 13.4% 10.7% 11.1% 11.6% 7.4% 5.1% 2.8% 0.5%
Thomas Cooper 11.7% 12.9% 13.7% 14.0% 12.8% 11.6% 10.5% 7.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Aidan Molesky 7.9% 10.9% 12.0% 13.8% 13.2% 11.1% 10.4% 7.3% 7.9% 4.1% 1.0% 0.4%
Nicholas Giacobbe 8.0% 9.2% 11.7% 12.3% 10.6% 12.5% 11.6% 8.7% 6.8% 4.7% 3.1% 0.8%
Renee Torrie 10.6% 11.6% 12.3% 13.3% 12.6% 13.9% 9.1% 7.1% 5.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.4%
Abe Kipnis 2.0% 1.9% 3.0% 3.4% 4.5% 5.3% 5.5% 9.8% 9.6% 14.5% 19.9% 20.6%
James Gilmore III 4.7% 6.4% 6.5% 7.8% 9.3% 10.3% 11.0% 13.0% 12.6% 9.1% 6.5% 2.8%
David Tampellini 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 2.5% 2.8% 3.9% 6.3% 7.1% 9.8% 15.8% 20.6% 26.9%
George Williams 2.4% 4.2% 3.9% 4.5% 5.8% 6.4% 8.8% 10.1% 13.7% 15.0% 15.8% 9.4%
Lillian Vincens 3.7% 4.1% 6.0% 6.5% 8.8% 8.9% 10.7% 11.7% 14.2% 12.1% 8.2% 5.1%
Samantha Mislinski 0.9% 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.1% 2.8% 4.0% 6.0% 9.2% 14.9% 20.7% 32.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.