Race 11B

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Marshall 16.5% 14.4% 12.7% 14.7% 11.0% 9.6% 8.1% 5.6% 3.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Matt Johnson 11.4% 13.6% 10.9% 10.2% 13.3% 9.3% 8.5% 8.8% 7.1% 4.8% 2.1% 0.0%
Ryan White 7.5% 5.1% 6.9% 8.2% 6.7% 9.1% 10.3% 11.6% 11.4% 11.9% 8.1% 3.2%
Peter Edmunds 6.5% 8.0% 9.5% 8.3% 10.0% 10.4% 10.8% 9.4% 9.1% 9.2% 6.7% 2.1%
Ryan Mullins 14.0% 15.7% 14.5% 9.6% 10.8% 10.1% 8.6% 5.5% 5.6% 3.7% 1.7% 0.2%
Matthew Schon 11.5% 11.5% 11.7% 10.7% 10.2% 11.4% 9.4% 8.5% 8.1% 4.2% 2.2% 0.6%
Kelsey Wheeler 10.8% 10.2% 11.0% 10.9% 9.5% 10.2% 10.0% 10.6% 7.0% 5.6% 2.9% 1.3%
Steven Pelissier 6.6% 5.8% 6.3% 6.9% 7.4% 7.7% 9.4% 10.6% 12.1% 11.9% 10.8% 4.5%
Rian Bareuther 7.2% 8.1% 10.1% 9.7% 11.3% 9.3% 9.2% 9.8% 12.4% 7.5% 4.0% 1.4%
Ted Netland 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.9% 2.0% 3.0% 2.6% 4.6% 7.1% 11.6% 20.7% 40.0%
Andrew McHenry 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 2.6% 3.3% 4.1% 5.3% 5.6% 11.6% 23.2% 37.9%
David Pierce 4.6% 4.4% 2.9% 6.1% 5.2% 6.6% 9.0% 9.7% 10.9% 15.6% 16.5% 8.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.