Race 5A

sacred-heart

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
August Sturm 40.7% 26.6% 16.2% 7.9% 4.2% 2.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Gershuny 6.2% 9.1% 11.7% 11.4% 11.6% 11.3% 12.2% 10.1% 8.6% 4.6% 2.7% 0.5%
Thomas Cooper 11.9% 12.7% 13.3% 13.7% 13.3% 10.4% 10.4% 7.8% 4.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Nicholas Giacobbe 6.1% 11.1% 11.4% 12.3% 11.7% 12.3% 9.7% 9.9% 8.7% 4.2% 1.5% 1.1%
Renee Torrie 10.5% 11.4% 13.3% 12.9% 11.2% 12.7% 10.4% 6.9% 5.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
Abe Kipnis 1.7% 1.7% 3.0% 3.0% 3.9% 5.0% 5.9% 6.5% 10.3% 15.7% 21.6% 21.7%
James Gilmore III 5.3% 5.5% 7.3% 8.5% 9.6% 9.3% 11.4% 12.4% 11.7% 10.7% 5.9% 2.4%
David Tampellini 1.0% 2.3% 1.8% 3.7% 3.9% 3.1% 5.3% 7.3% 9.7% 13.5% 20.7% 27.7%
Lillian Vincens 3.7% 3.9% 5.3% 8.5% 10.5% 9.1% 10.4% 14.8% 12.5% 10.9% 7.3% 3.1%
Aidan Molesky 9.1% 10.8% 11.6% 13.3% 12.4% 12.6% 10.9% 7.5% 5.9% 4.6% 0.8% 0.5%
Samantha Mislinski 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 2.1% 4.4% 3.4% 6.1% 8.7% 12.4% 23.0% 34.0%
George Williams 2.3% 3.4% 3.7% 3.3% 5.6% 7.6% 8.5% 10.1% 13.8% 18.3% 14.8% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.