← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.68+3.62vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire1.24+3.61vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College1.44+2.03vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-1.74vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.33+0.43vs Predicted
-
6McGill University1.56-1.19vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook0.79-0.39vs Predicted
-
8Fairfield University0.64-1.01vs Predicted
-
9Sacred Heart University-0.43+0.52vs Predicted
-
10Wesleyan University-0.24-0.98vs Predicted
-
11University of Connecticut0.19-2.69vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.62Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
-
5.61University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
-
5.03SUNY Maritime College1.440.1%1st Place
-
2.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.4%1st Place
-
5.43Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
-
4.81McGill University1.560.1%1st Place
-
6.61SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
-
6.99Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
-
9.52Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
-
9.02Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
-
8.31University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
-
9.8SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Cooper | 9.7% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 5.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Molesky | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| August Sturm | 41.7% | 24.3% | 16.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Renee Torrie | 10.1% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| James Gilmore III | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Lillian Vincens | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| David Tampellini | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 21.3% | 26.1% |
| Abe Kipnis | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 21.8% | 19.3% |
| George Williams | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 11.5% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 19.7% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.