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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.24+3.61vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.33+2.38vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.44+1.09vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.68-0.42vs Predicted
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6McGill University1.56-1.17vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.43+2.36vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.79-1.31vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut0.19-0.91vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.64-2.97vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-0.24-1.73vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.4%1st Place
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5.61University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
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5.38Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
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5.09SUNY Maritime College1.440.1%1st Place
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4.58Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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4.83McGill University1.560.1%1st Place
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9.36Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.69SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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7.03Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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9.27Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.82SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August Sturm | 39.3% | 27.9% | 16.3% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Molesky | 7.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Cooper | 11.3% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Renee Torrie | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| David Tampellini | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 20.8% | 26.3% |
| James Gilmore III | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| George Williams | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 9.8% |
| Lillian Vincens | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Abe Kipnis | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 19.6% | 23.1% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 22.6% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.