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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
August Sturm 39.3% 27.9% 16.3% 8.5% 3.8% 2.1% 1.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Gershuny 6.1% 9.2% 11.5% 9.5% 13.6% 11.9% 10.7% 10.7% 8.2% 4.8% 3.4% 0.4%
Nicholas Giacobbe 8.8% 8.0% 11.5% 12.4% 10.7% 11.4% 12.5% 11.8% 6.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.4%
Aidan Molesky 7.7% 11.9% 11.8% 13.7% 13.2% 10.9% 10.0% 8.4% 7.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Thomas Cooper 11.3% 12.7% 14.4% 15.0% 12.6% 11.0% 8.8% 6.1% 3.7% 2.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Renee Torrie 10.8% 11.6% 11.6% 14.1% 12.8% 12.5% 9.4% 7.7% 5.1% 3.0% 1.0% 0.4%
David Tampellini 1.6% 1.9% 2.9% 1.8% 4.5% 3.9% 5.5% 6.4% 9.8% 14.6% 20.8% 26.3%
James Gilmore III 4.7% 5.7% 6.7% 8.6% 8.7% 10.9% 11.6% 11.9% 10.8% 11.3% 6.2% 2.9%
George Williams 2.7% 2.1% 3.6% 5.1% 6.8% 7.7% 8.4% 10.8% 15.1% 14.5% 13.4% 9.8%
Lillian Vincens 4.1% 5.6% 5.9% 6.9% 7.2% 9.9% 10.4% 14.6% 12.3% 10.9% 8.6% 3.6%
Abe Kipnis 2.0% 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 3.8% 4.5% 6.9% 6.8% 11.0% 16.7% 19.6% 23.1%
Samantha Mislinski 0.9% 2.0% 1.8% 2.2% 2.3% 3.3% 4.3% 4.7% 9.6% 13.5% 22.6% 32.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.