Race 8A

sacred-heart

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
August Sturm 38.5% 27.8% 15.4% 9.8% 4.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Gilmore III 3.8% 5.1% 8.1% 8.3% 10.9% 8.4% 11.7% 12.4% 13.0% 10.5% 5.1% 2.7%
Renee Torrie 10.9% 10.5% 12.7% 13.9% 11.6% 11.8% 10.0% 9.1% 6.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Ryan Gershuny 5.6% 9.5% 11.1% 12.2% 11.0% 12.8% 11.7% 9.1% 8.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
Nicholas Giacobbe 7.8% 10.2% 10.0% 11.8% 12.1% 11.3% 12.2% 9.7% 6.9% 5.0% 2.7% 0.3%
David Tampellini 1.3% 1.5% 1.8% 3.4% 3.0% 5.4% 4.2% 6.1% 7.9% 15.0% 21.7% 28.7%
Aidan Molesky 9.0% 12.6% 11.4% 13.6% 12.7% 10.6% 9.9% 9.0% 5.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.3%
Thomas Cooper 13.0% 11.7% 15.5% 12.6% 13.2% 11.9% 8.8% 6.3% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4%
Abe Kipnis 1.9% 1.5% 1.8% 2.5% 4.1% 4.7% 6.9% 9.2% 12.3% 16.0% 19.7% 19.4%
Lillian Vincens 4.1% 4.6% 7.5% 6.6% 7.9% 9.8% 10.4% 12.9% 13.5% 11.4% 8.0% 3.3%
Samantha Mislinski 1.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 2.8% 4.3% 4.4% 5.3% 9.6% 11.9% 21.4% 34.5%
George Williams 2.3% 3.8% 3.5% 3.7% 5.8% 7.0% 8.9% 10.3% 13.7% 16.0% 15.6% 9.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.