← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+1.24vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire1.24+3.59vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College1.44+2.12vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.33+1.36vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.68-0.43vs Predicted
-
6McGill University1.56-1.18vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook0.79-0.38vs Predicted
-
8Wesleyan University-0.24+1.06vs Predicted
-
9Sacred Heart University-0.43+0.51vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.33vs Predicted
-
11Fairfield University0.64-3.76vs Predicted
-
12University of Connecticut0.19-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.4%1st Place
-
5.59University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
-
5.12SUNY Maritime College1.440.1%1st Place
-
5.36Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
-
4.57Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
-
4.82McGill University1.560.1%1st Place
-
6.62SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
-
9.06Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
-
9.51Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
-
9.67SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
-
7.24Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
-
8.2University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August Sturm | 40.6% | 26.6% | 16.4% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Molesky | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Cooper | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Renee Torrie | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| James Gilmore III | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Abe Kipnis | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 22.2% |
| David Tampellini | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 21.4% | 26.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 23.0% | 31.8% |
| Lillian Vincens | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| George Williams | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.