Race 10A

sacred-heart

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Abe Kipnis 1.0% 2.6% 2.0% 3.1% 5.2% 4.3% 6.9% 7.6% 9.6% 15.9% 21.0% 20.8%
August Sturm 42.0% 24.2% 15.9% 9.7% 4.6% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Gershuny 7.5% 8.0% 10.6% 10.2% 12.7% 10.6% 12.7% 11.2% 8.4% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8%
Renee Torrie 8.3% 12.6% 12.7% 13.9% 13.0% 12.3% 9.3% 8.1% 5.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Nicholas Giacobbe 7.4% 10.0% 11.9% 11.6% 12.1% 11.0% 12.2% 9.0% 7.4% 3.9% 2.9% 0.6%
Thomas Cooper 11.6% 13.2% 13.0% 12.9% 11.6% 14.5% 8.4% 6.3% 5.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Lillian Vincens 4.1% 5.4% 5.8% 8.5% 8.4% 8.3% 10.5% 12.2% 13.0% 12.2% 8.3% 3.3%
James Gilmore III 5.1% 6.2% 6.8% 7.8% 8.4% 11.0% 10.6% 12.5% 13.0% 10.1% 6.5% 2.0%
Aidan Molesky 8.1% 10.2% 13.7% 14.5% 12.9% 12.2% 8.7% 9.9% 5.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.5%
David Tampellini 1.1% 1.9% 3.1% 2.7% 2.8% 3.8% 5.3% 6.7% 10.9% 14.2% 19.7% 27.8%
Samantha Mislinski 1.7% 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 2.6% 3.0% 4.7% 4.9% 9.4% 13.4% 20.7% 35.1%
George Williams 2.1% 4.4% 3.2% 3.2% 5.7% 6.8% 9.6% 11.3% 11.7% 17.2% 15.9% 8.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.