Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

9.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Caelan Juckniess 21.8% 20.5% 19.0% 16.4% 12.1% 6.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Capozzi 14.0% 12.4% 15.2% 16.9% 14.2% 12.5% 8.5% 3.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Nathaniel Barton 6.8% 7.2% 7.6% 11.3% 12.9% 16.1% 13.8% 13.1% 7.2% 3.4% 0.6%
Jessica Kurlander 0.9% 2.2% 2.0% 3.5% 3.5% 5.2% 8.6% 12.4% 15.7% 23.0% 23.0%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 3.2% 2.8% 4.9% 4.4% 7.0% 10.0% 13.3% 15.5% 15.7% 14.8% 8.4%
Jeremy McCauley 15.9% 17.5% 18.5% 15.0% 11.9% 9.5% 6.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
River Iannaccone 6.3% 7.3% 7.6% 9.5% 12.3% 13.6% 15.7% 13.6% 8.0% 4.3% 1.8%
Tyler Paige 25.6% 23.9% 16.5% 13.4% 11.2% 5.5% 1.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Hawkins 2.9% 3.1% 4.3% 3.9% 6.8% 10.5% 11.8% 15.2% 18.6% 15.0% 7.9%
Matthew Fanelli 2.0% 2.5% 3.2% 3.9% 5.7% 7.1% 11.9% 12.3% 19.5% 18.7% 13.2%
Maura Neely 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 3.9% 5.2% 8.2% 11.5% 19.5% 45.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.