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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tyler Paige 23.7% 21.5% 17.7% 14.9% 11.3% 6.3% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Barton 7.8% 6.9% 11.5% 9.6% 13.1% 14.8% 14.6% 10.9% 6.8% 3.0% 1.0%
Caelan Juckniess 22.5% 22.1% 16.5% 15.8% 10.7% 7.4% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 15.7% 16.9% 15.4% 17.5% 12.9% 10.9% 5.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Hawkins 3.0% 3.4% 4.1% 4.7% 7.0% 9.4% 12.4% 14.7% 16.7% 16.6% 8.0%
Thomas Capozzi 13.6% 14.6% 14.6% 15.8% 14.0% 9.3% 8.9% 5.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3%
River Iannaccone 6.6% 6.9% 8.4% 8.7% 10.5% 15.6% 14.2% 13.3% 9.4% 4.8% 1.6%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 2.8% 2.4% 4.9% 4.2% 7.9% 10.3% 13.6% 15.1% 14.4% 15.4% 9.0%
Jessica Kurlander 2.0% 1.7% 2.7% 2.7% 3.8% 5.1% 8.4% 13.6% 17.2% 22.1% 20.7%
Maura Neely 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 1.5% 2.8% 2.9% 4.1% 9.2% 11.8% 18.0% 46.8%
Matthew Fanelli 1.6% 2.4% 3.2% 4.6% 6.0% 8.0% 10.8% 12.7% 19.4% 18.7% 12.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.