← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.79+2.07vs Predicted
-
2Wesleyan University0.55+3.40vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.14vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook1.41-0.23vs Predicted
-
5University of Connecticut-0.42+2.41vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.17-1.83vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire0.27-2.17vs Predicted
-
9Sacred Heart University-0.40-1.61vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-1.55vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College-1.59-1.53vs Predicted
-
12Fairfield University-0.71-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.07Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
-
5.4Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
-
3.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.2%1st Place
-
3.77SUNY Stony Brook1.410.2%1st Place
-
7.41University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
-
4.17Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
-
5.83University of New Hampshire0.270.1%1st Place
-
7.39Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
8.45SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
-
9.47SUNY Maritime College-1.590.0%1st Place
-
7.9Fairfield University-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Paige | 23.7% | 21.5% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 7.8% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 22.5% | 22.1% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 15.7% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 8.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 13.6% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| River Iannaccone | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 9.0% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 22.1% | 20.7% |
| Maura Neely | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 46.8% |
| Matthew Fanelli | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.