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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University0.55+4.49vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook1.41+0.67vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-0.84vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.27+1.18vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.79-3.02vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.40+0.46vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-1.59+1.34vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.42-1.69vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.71-1.93vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-2.69vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.17-7.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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3.67SUNY Stony Brook1.410.2%1st Place
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3.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.2%1st Place
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6.18University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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2.98Tufts University1.790.3%1st Place
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7.46Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.34SUNY Maritime College-1.590.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
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8.07Fairfield University-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.31SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.02Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Barton | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 15.6% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 21.6% | 21.1% | 19.8% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| River Iannaccone | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 27.9% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 9.8% |
| Maura Neely | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 44.9% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 8.0% |
| Matthew Fanelli | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 15.8% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 23.6% | 18.4% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 14.6% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.