Race 4B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Thomas Capozzi 11.3% 14.5% 13.5% 16.2% 17.7% 12.3% 7.8% 3.9% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Tyler Paige 25.6% 20.5% 19.8% 14.3% 10.0% 6.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
River Iannaccone 5.0% 5.7% 7.4% 8.8% 11.4% 12.1% 15.4% 14.7% 11.3% 6.4% 1.8%
Nathaniel Barton 6.0% 7.6% 9.0% 11.5% 13.5% 15.2% 14.9% 10.4% 7.8% 3.6% 0.5%
Caelan Juckniess 24.3% 22.6% 17.9% 13.4% 9.3% 6.5% 3.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 16.1% 17.7% 17.9% 15.9% 12.7% 9.4% 5.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Benjamin Hawkins 3.5% 3.0% 4.0% 5.6% 6.4% 10.5% 13.3% 15.0% 16.3% 14.5% 7.9%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 3.3% 3.2% 3.7% 5.4% 7.2% 9.7% 14.2% 15.5% 13.9% 16.7% 7.2%
Jessica Kurlander 1.7% 2.1% 2.9% 2.7% 3.5% 6.1% 7.8% 12.9% 16.6% 20.4% 23.3%
Matthew Fanelli 2.2% 2.2% 3.0% 4.6% 5.8% 7.7% 10.3% 14.0% 17.6% 19.0% 13.6%
Maura Neely 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 2.5% 4.5% 4.7% 7.5% 12.2% 18.5% 45.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.