Race 12B

nicholas-j-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matt Johnson 12.2% 10.1% 12.1% 12.0% 11.0% 11.8% 9.0% 7.6% 6.8% 4.6% 1.8% 1.0%
Michael Marshall 16.2% 15.2% 14.5% 13.1% 11.2% 9.4% 7.9% 6.0% 3.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Peter Edmunds 8.9% 6.0% 8.5% 8.9% 9.4% 9.6% 9.7% 11.0% 11.9% 9.1% 4.8% 2.2%
Kelsey Wheeler 9.4% 11.2% 10.2% 12.2% 9.7% 10.5% 11.4% 8.3% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.2%
Steven Pelissier 5.3% 5.3% 7.4% 4.9% 9.5% 7.5% 9.8% 10.3% 10.7% 11.9% 12.2% 5.2%
Ryan White 6.6% 6.3% 7.0% 7.5% 6.8% 10.3% 9.4% 10.3% 12.8% 11.2% 8.7% 3.1%
Ryan Mullins 14.7% 16.0% 13.4% 11.3% 9.9% 10.6% 8.3% 6.9% 4.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.6%
Matthew Schon 12.5% 14.1% 9.7% 11.6% 10.7% 8.9% 10.5% 8.8% 5.6% 4.2% 2.1% 1.3%
Ted Netland 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 2.4% 2.7% 2.4% 3.3% 5.6% 7.3% 12.4% 22.0% 37.7%
David Pierce 4.3% 4.5% 4.7% 4.9% 7.3% 6.5% 8.2% 9.4% 11.5% 14.9% 14.9% 8.9%
Rian Bareuther 7.0% 8.1% 8.3% 9.3% 9.1% 9.8% 9.1% 10.4% 11.7% 9.2% 6.0% 2.0%
Andrew McHenry 1.7% 1.9% 2.5% 1.9% 2.7% 2.7% 3.4% 5.4% 7.2% 11.2% 22.6% 36.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.